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Earth2studio Create Prognostic

NVIDIAOfficialCreated by NVIDIA Earth-2 Team

  • Skill
  • Workflow
  • Software development
  • Apache-2.0
  • Medium risk
  • Has scripts

From the author

Create Earth2Studio prognostic (time-stepping forecast) model wrappers. Do NOT use for diagnostic models, data sources, or installation.
— the description by NVIDIA Earth-2 Team

AutoGineer summary

Written by AutoGineer from the skill’s own files, not by the author

This skill provides a structured, step-by-step procedure for implementing prognostic (time-stepping) model wrappers within the Earth2Studio ecosystem. It guides developers through dependency management, model file creation using required inheritance patterns, coordinate system implementation, forward pass logic, and rigorous testing. The workflow ensures consistency across model integrations by enforcing specific method order, SPDX headers, and documentation standards, while providing templates for pull requests and validation comparisons against vanilla implementations.

What it does

  • Generates prognostic model wrappers for Earth2Studio.
  • Manages Python dependencies and model-specific extras in pyproject.toml.
  • Enforces standard inheritance and method structures for model classes.
  • Provides templates for coordinate systems and iterative forecasting logic.
  • Facilitates automated testing and validation against reference implementations.
  • Standardizes documentation and changelog updates for new model integrations.

When to use it

  • When integrating a new third-party ML weather model into Earth2Studio.
  • When you need to ensure a model wrapper adheres to the framework's architectural standards.
  • When you need to validate a new model wrapper against a vanilla reference implementation.
  • When preparing a pull request for a new prognostic model contribution.

Advantages

  • Ensures architectural consistency across all prognostic models.
  • Reduces boilerplate through provided templates and skeletons.
  • Standardizes testing and validation procedures.
  • Simplifies dependency management and documentation requirements.

Usage examples

“Create IdentityModel - returns input unchanged, 6h step, 181x360, vars: t2m, u10m, v10m, msl”
The agent generates the identity.py file with the required triple inheritance, implements the coordinate system, creates the corresponding test file, and runs the full verification suite.
“Add Pangu-Weather wrapper from https://github.com/198808xc/Pangu-Weather”
The agent fetches the inference script, sets up the model wrapper with appropriate dependencies, implements the forward pass and iterator, and executes the test suite.

Install

  1. Download the skill as a ZIP:

    https://mp-staging.autogineer.com/agent-skills/nvidia/earth2studio-create-prognostic/download
  2. Unzip it into the cross-client skills folder of your project:

    mkdir -p .agents/skills && unzip earth2studio-create-prognostic.zip -d .agents/skills

Documentation by NVIDIA Earth-2 Team

Quick Start Checklist

Do these steps IN ORDER. Do not skip any step.

  • [ ] Read this SKILL.md completely first

  • [ ] Get reference script (Step 0)

  • [ ] Create earth2studio/models/px/<name>.py with triple inheritance

  • [ ] Create test/models/px/test_<name>.py with mock tests

  • [ ] Run: uv run pytest test/models/px/test_<name>.py -v

  • [ ] Add/update model extra, install docs, API docs, and changelog (Steps 1-2, 9)

  • [ ] Run: make format && make lint

⚠️ CRITICAL: Always use uv run for Python commands:

  • ✅ uv run pytest ... / uv run python ...

  • ❌ pytest ... / python ... (missing dependencies)

Stuck or wrong output: Do not keep retrying the same fix. Follow Self-Improvement to patch this skill before continuing.

Purpose

Implement a prognostic model wrapper connecting third-party ML weather models to Earth2Studio. Prognostic models time-integrate forward—given initial state, they predict future states by stepping through time (e.g., 6-hour increments).

Workspace

ContextLocation
Harbor evalWrite to /workspace/output/earth2studio/models/px/...
Harbor + --copy-repoFull checkout at /workspace/repo
Local cloneDirectory with pyproject.toml

Never read evals/targets/ — grader references only.

Reference Files

Load on demand during the matching step:

FileContentLoad at
references/skeleton-template.pyFull model skeleton with FILL commentsSteps 3–6
references/method-templates.pyCanonical method implementationsSteps 4–6
references/testing-guide.pyTest skeleton and mock patternsStep 7
references/validation-guide.mdComparison scripts, PR, code reviewSteps 10–11

Workflow Steps

Step 0 — Get Reference Script

If $ARGUMENTS provided, use it. Otherwise ask:

Please provide a reference inference script URL/path.

Step 1 — Analyze & Propose Dependencies

Analyze: packages, architecture, I/O shapes, time step, resolution, checkpoint.

Propose pyproject.toml group (alphabetical, add to all). Every prognostic model must have an optional dependency extra, even when no packages are required:

model-name = ["package1>=version", "package2"]
# or, when no additional packages are required:
model-name = []

[CONFIRM] Present dependencies and ask user to approve.

Step 2 — Add Dependencies

Edit pyproject.toml: add the model extra alphabetically, even if it is empty, and update the all aggregate.

Step 3 — Create Model File

File: earth2studio/models/px/<lowercase>.py

Required inheritance (all three):

class ModelName(torch.nn.Module, AutoModelMixin, PrognosticMixin):

Required imports:

import numpy as np
import torch
from earth2studio.models.auto import AutoModelMixin, Package
from earth2studio.models.batch import batch_coords, batch_func
from earth2studio.models.px.base import PrognosticMixin
from earth2studio.models.utils import create_coords_from_lat_lon, handshake_dim
from earth2studio.lexicon import E2STUDIO_VOCAB
from earth2studio.utils import check_optional_dependencies
from loguru import logger

SPDX header (required at top of every .py file):

# SPDX-FileCopyrightText: Copyright (c) 2024-2025 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES.
# SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0

Canonical method order:

  1. __init__ 2. input_coords 3. output_coords (@batch_coords)

  2. load_default_package 5. load_model 6. to (optional)

  3. Private methods 8. __call__ (@batch_func) 9. _default_generator

  4. create_iterator

Step 4 — Implement Coordinates

input_coords rules:

  • batch: np.empty(0)

  • time: np.empty(0) (dynamic)

  • lead_time: starts at np.timedelta64(0, "h")

  • lat: 90 to -90 (north to south); this is the public Earth2Studio convention even if the source model uses the opposite order

  • lon: 0 to 360

  • If a checkpoint/model core expects south-to-north latitude, flip tensors internally before/after the core model; do not expose flipped latitude in input_coords or output_coords

  • Map variables to E2STUDIO_VOCAB (282 entries in earth2studio/lexicon/base.py)

output_coords: Use handshake_dim/handshake_coords for input validation, then increment lead_time. Prefer a shared coordinate-check helper and call it from output_coords, __call__, and iterator setup before model execution.

Step 5 — Implement Forward Pass

__call__: @batch_func decorated, shape (batch, time, lead_time, var, lat, lon). Reshape to model format → call model → reshape back.

create_iterator: MUST yield initial condition first (step 0). Use front_hook/rear_hook for perturbation injection.

Step 6 — Implement Model Loading

load_default_package: Lock HuggingFace URLs: hf://org/repo@commit

load_model: Use package.resolve(), map_location="cpu", eval() mode, decorate with @check_optional_dependencies().

Step 7 — Write Tests

File: test/models/px/test_<name>.py

Required tests:

FunctionPurpose
test_<model>_callSingle forward pass (parametrize device/time)
test_<model>_iterIterator produces sequence
test_<model>_exceptionsInvalid coords raise errors
test_<model>_packageReal weights (@pytest.mark.package)

Create PhooModelName dummy matching interface for mock tests.

Run tests:

uv run pytest test/models/px/test_<name>.py -m "not package" -v
uv run pytest test/models/px/test_<name>.py::test_<model>_package --package -v

Do not omit the package test. If arbitrary random inputs are not physically valid for the real checkpoint, use a stable model-appropriate synthetic input while still loading real weights and running a forward pass.

Step 8 — Register Model (if requested)
  • Add to earth2studio/models/px/__init__.py (alphabetical)

  • Verify deps in pyproject.toml

Step 9 — Documentation
  • Add to docs/modules/models_px.rst (alphabetical). This is required for every new prognostic model so the API docs include the generated page.

  • Add to docs/userguide/about/install.md (alphabetical tab) for the model extra, even when the extra is empty. Include model-specific notes plus both pip install earth2studio[model-name] and uv add earth2studio --extra model-name instructions.

  • Update CHANGELOG.md under ### Added. This is required for every new prognostic model.

Format and lint:

make format && make lint && make license
Step 10 - Validation (if requested)

Follow references/validation-guide.md. Create uncommitted vanilla, E2S, comparison, and sanity-check scripts; do not commit generated outputs or images. Use PR-safe placeholders for plots so the user can upload images manually.

[CONFIRM] User must visually inspect plots before proceeding.

Step 11 - PR (if requested)

Follow references/validation-guide.md and use:

  • references/pr-body-template.md

  • references/pr-comment-template.md

Before creating the PR, verify pyproject.toml has the model extra, the all extra includes it, install docs include both pip and uv commands, and docs/modules/models_px.rst plus CHANGELOG.md are updated.

Do not include machine names, absolute paths, device inventory, or uploaded image links in PR text. Use plot placeholders instead.


Examples

Simple Identity Model
User: Create IdentityModel - returns input unchanged, 6h step, 181x360, vars: t2m, u10m, v10m, msl

Agent: [reads SKILL.md, creates identity.py with triple inheritance,
        creates test_identity.py, runs pytest, runs make format && lint]
External Model (Pangu)
User: Add Pangu-Weather wrapper
      GitHub: https://github.com/198808xc/Pangu-Weather

Agent: [reads SKILL.md, fetches inference.py, creates pangu.py,
        creates test_pangu.py, runs pytest]

Key Patterns

Coordinate Template
@property
def input_coords(self) -> CoordSystem:
    return CoordSystem({
        "batch": np.empty(0),
        "time": np.empty(0),
        "lead_time": np.array([np.timedelta64(0, "h")]),
        "variable": np.array(["t2m", "u10m", ...]),
        # Public Earth2Studio convention is north-to-south latitude.
        "lat": np.linspace(90, -90, 181),
        "lon": np.linspace(0, 359, 360),
    })

@batch_coords()
def output_coords(self, input_coords: CoordSystem) -> CoordSystem:
    output = input_coords.copy()
    output["lead_time"] = input_coords["lead_time"] + np.timedelta64(6, "h")
    return output
Iterator Template
def create_iterator(self, x, coords):
    yield x, coords  # Initial condition (step 0)
    while True:
        x, coords = self.front_hook(x, coords)
        x, coords = self(x, coords)
        x, coords = self.rear_hook(x, coords)
        yield x, coords

Troubleshooting

ErrorSolution
OptionalDependencyFailureuv add --optional <group> <pkg>
Coordinate handshake failsCheck handshake_dim indices match dim position
Iterator wrong shapesDebug reshape logic with random input
ModuleNotFoundError: pytestUse uv run pytest not pytest

Reminders

DO:

  • Use uv run python for ALL Python commands

  • Use loguru.logger, never print()

  • Inherit torch.nn.Module + AutoModelMixin + PrognosticMixin

  • Yield initial condition first in create_iterator

  • Use front_hook()/rear_hook() in _default_generator

  • Include SPDX header in every .py file

DON'T:

  • Create general base classes for reuse

  • Commit API keys or comparison scripts

  • Read from evals/targets/

Files

references/testing-guide.py

# SPDX-FileCopyrightText: Copyright (c) 2024-2026 NVIDIA CORPORATION & AFFILIATES.
# SPDX-FileCopyrightText: All rights reserved.
# SPDX-License-Identifier: Apache-2.0
#
# Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
# you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
# You may obtain a copy of the License at
#
# http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
#
# Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
# distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
# WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
# See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
# limitations under the License.

"""Testing Guide for Prognostic Model Wrappers.

This file provides test templates for Earth2Studio prognostic models.
Copy and adapt for your specific model.

Test file location: test/models/px/test_<model_name>.py

Required standard tests. Do not rename or omit these:
1. test_<model>_call - Single forward pass with mock model, parameterized over time and device where practical.
2. test_<model>_iter - Iterator produces the initial condition and advances lead_time for ensemble sizes 1 and 2.
3. test_<model>_exceptions - Invalid coordinates, variables, lead times, or dimension order raise errors.
4. test_<model>_package - Integration test with real weights using @pytest.mark.package and the repo --package option.

Use Random/fetch_data for mock call and iterator tests when possible. For package
tests, arbitrary Gaussian random fields may be physically invalid for some real
checkpoints; in that case construct a stable model-appropriate finite input
(e.g. normalization center or another documented neutral state), but still load
the real package and run the real forward path.

See real examples:
- test/models/px/test_pangu.py
- test/models/px/test_aurora.py

Use `uv run pytest` to execute tests
"""

import gc
from collections import OrderedDict
from collections.abc import Iterable

import numpy as np
import pytest
import torch

from earth2studio.data import Random, fetch_data
from earth2studio.models.auto import Package
from earth2studio.models.px import ModelName  # TODO: Import your model
from earth2studio.utils import handshake_dim


# =============================================================================
# DUMMY MODEL (Phoo Pattern)
# =============================================================================


class PhooModelName(torch.nn.Module):
    """Dummy model that mimics the actual model's interface.

    The Phoo model should:
    1. Accept input in the same shape the real model expects
    2. Produce output in the same shape the real model produces
    3. Perform a simple, deterministic operation (e.g., x + 1)

    This allows testing the wrapper's reshape logic without real weights.
    """

    def __init__(self) -> None:
        super().__init__()
        # Add any parameters needed to match interface
        # self.dummy_param = torch.nn.Parameter(torch.ones(1))

    def forward(self, x: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
        """Simple deterministic forward pass.

        TODO: Adapt input/output shapes to match your model's interface.

        Parameters
        ----------
        x : torch.Tensor
            Input tensor in model's native format.

        Returns
        -------
        torch.Tensor
            Output tensor (same shape as input for simple case).
        """
        # Simple deterministic operation for testing
        return x + 1


# =============================================================================
# TEST FIXTURES
# =============================================================================


@pytest.fixture(scope="class")
def test_package(tmp_path_factory):
    """Create a dummy model package for testing.

    This fixture creates a temporary directory with:
    - model.pt: Serialized PhooModelName
    - Any additional files needed (config, normalization params, etc.)
    """
    tmp_path = tmp_path_factory.mktemp("model_data")

    # Save dummy model
    model = PhooModelName()
    torch.save(model, tmp_path / "model.pt")

    # TODO: Add additional files if needed
    # np.save(tmp_path / "center.npy", np.zeros(10))
    # np.save(tmp_path / "scale.npy", np.ones(10))

    return Package(str(tmp_path))


# =============================================================================
# MOCK TESTS (No real weights required)
# =============================================================================


class TestModelNameMock:
    """Mock tests using dummy model weights."""

    @pytest.mark.parametrize(
        "time",
        [
            np.array(
                [
                    np.datetime64("1999-10-11T12:00"),
                    np.datetime64("2001-06-04T00:00"),
                ]
            ),
        ],
    )
    @pytest.mark.parametrize(
        "device",
        [
            "cpu",
            pytest.param(
                "cuda:0",
                marks=pytest.mark.skipif(
                    not torch.cuda.is_available(), reason="No GPU"
                ),
            ),
        ],
    )
    def test_model_call(self, test_package, time, device):
        """Test single forward pass with mock model.

        Validates:
        - Model loads from package
        - Forward pass produces correct output shape
        - Output coordinates are valid
        """
        model = ModelName.load_model(test_package)
        model = model.to(device)

        # Get input coordinates - Random only needs spatial coords (lat, lon)
        dc = model.input_coords()
        del dc["batch"]
        del dc["lead_time"]
        del dc["variable"]

        # Fetch random input data
        ds = Random(dc)
        lead_time = model.input_coords()["lead_time"]
        variable = model.input_coords()["variable"]
        x, coords = fetch_data(ds, time, variable, lead_time, device=device)

        # Run forward pass
        out, out_coords = model(x, coords)

        # Validate output shape matches input
        assert out.shape == x.shape, f"Shape mismatch: {out.shape} != {x.shape}"

        # Validate output coordinates
        assert isinstance(out_coords, OrderedDict)
        assert coords["lat"][0] == 90
        assert coords["lat"][-1] == -90
        assert out_coords["lat"][0] == 90
        assert out_coords["lat"][-1] == -90
        # Standard models: time=0, lead_time=1, variable=2, lat=3, lon=4
        handshake_dim(out_coords, "variable", 2)

        # Validate lead_time was incremented
        # TODO: Adjust time step check for your model
        expected_lead = coords["lead_time"] + np.timedelta64(6, "h")
        np.testing.assert_array_equal(out_coords["lead_time"], expected_lead)

    @pytest.mark.parametrize("ensemble", [1, 2])
    @pytest.mark.parametrize(
        "device",
        [
            "cpu",
            pytest.param(
                "cuda:0",
                marks=pytest.mark.skipif(
                    not torch.cuda.is_available(), reason="No GPU"
                ),
            ),
        ],
    )
    def test_model_iter(self, test_package, ensemble, device):
        """Test iterator produces correct sequence.

        Validates:
        - Iterator is iterable
        - First yield is initial condition (step 0)
        - Subsequent yields advance lead_time correctly
        - Ensemble dimension is preserved
        """
        model = ModelName.load_model(test_package)
        model = model.to(device)

        # Create input - Random only needs spatial coords (lat, lon)
        time = np.array([np.datetime64("2024-01-01T00:00")])
        dc = model.input_coords()
        del dc["batch"]
        del dc["lead_time"]
        del dc["variable"]
        ds = Random(dc)
        lead_time = model.input_coords()["lead_time"]
        variable = model.input_coords()["variable"]
        x, coords = fetch_data(ds, time, variable, lead_time, device=device)

        # Add ensemble dimension
        x = x.unsqueeze(0).repeat(ensemble, *([1] * x.ndim))
        coords["ensemble"] = np.arange(ensemble)
        coords.move_to_end("ensemble", last=False)

        # Create iterator
        iterator = model.create_iterator(x, coords)
        assert isinstance(iterator, Iterable)

        # Check initial condition (step 0)
        step0_x, step0_coords = next(iterator)
        assert step0_x.shape[0] == ensemble
        np.testing.assert_array_equal(
            step0_coords["lead_time"], np.array([np.timedelta64(0, "h")])
        )

        # Check subsequent steps
        for i, (step_x, step_coords) in enumerate(iterator):
            assert step_x.shape[0] == ensemble
            # TODO: Adjust time step for your model
            expected_lead = np.array([np.timedelta64((i + 1) * 6, "h")])
            np.testing.assert_array_equal(step_coords["lead_time"], expected_lead)
            if i >= 4:
                break

        # Cleanup
        del model
        gc.collect()
        if device != "cpu":
            torch.cuda.empty_cache()

    @pytest.mark.parametrize(
        "coords",
        [
            # Wrong variable name
            OrderedDict(
                {
                    "batch": np.empty(0),
                    "time": np.empty(0),
                    "lead_time": np.array([np.timedelta64(0, "h")]),
                    "variable": np.array(["wrong_var"]),
                    "lat": np.linspace(90, -90, 10),
                    "lon": np.linspace(0, 360, 20),
                }
            ),
            # Wrong latitude convention: public model coords must be 90 to -90
            OrderedDict(
                {
                    "batch": np.empty(0),
                    "time": np.empty(0),
                    "lead_time": np.array([np.timedelta64(0, "h")]),
                    "variable": np.array(["t2m"]),  # TODO: Replace with model variables
                    "lat": np.linspace(-90, 90, 10),
                    "lon": np.linspace(0, 360, 20),
                }
            ),
            # Wrong dimension order (if applicable)
            # OrderedDict({...}),
        ],
    )
    def test_model_exceptions(self, test_package, coords):
        """Test model raises on invalid coordinates.

        Validates:
        - Invalid variable names raise KeyError or ValueError
        - Wrong dimensions raise ValueError
        """
        model = ModelName.load_model(test_package)
        x = torch.randn(
            1,
            1,
            1,
            len(coords["variable"]),
            len(coords["lat"]),
            len(coords["lon"]),
        )
        with pytest.raises((KeyError, ValueError)):
            model(x, coords)


# =============================================================================
# PACKAGE/INTEGRATION TEST (Real weights required)
# =============================================================================


@pytest.mark.package
def test_model_package():
    """Integration test with real model weights.

    This test:
    1. Downloads real checkpoint via load_default_package
    2. Runs forward pass with random input
    3. Validates output shape and coordinates

    Marked with @pytest.mark.package to skip in normal test runs.
    Run with: uv run pytest test/models/px/test_<model_name>.py::test_<model>_package --package -v
    """
    # Load real model
    model = ModelName.load_model(ModelName.load_default_package())

    # Get input coordinates - Random only needs spatial coords (lat, lon)
    time = np.array([np.datetime64("2024-01-01T00:00")])
    dc = model.input_coords()
    del dc["batch"]
    del dc["lead_time"]
    del dc["variable"]

    # Fetch random data. If random fields are not valid for the real
    # checkpoint, replace x with a stable model-appropriate finite input
    # while preserving coords.
    ds = Random(dc)
    lead_time = model.input_coords()["lead_time"]
    variable = model.input_coords()["variable"]
    x, coords = fetch_data(ds, time, variable, lead_time)

    # Move to GPU if available
    device = "cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu"
    model = model.to(device)
    x = x.to(device)

    # Run forward pass
    out, out_coords = model(x, coords)

    # Validate output
    assert out.shape == x.shape
    assert isinstance(out_coords, OrderedDict)
    # Standard models: time=0, lead_time=1, variable=2, lat=3, lon=4
    handshake_dim(out_coords, "variable", 2)


# =============================================================================
# OPTIONAL: ADDITIONAL TEST PATTERNS
# =============================================================================


class TestModelNameAdditional:
    """Additional test patterns (optional)."""

    def test_model_dtype(self, test_package):
        """Test model preserves dtype."""
        model = ModelName.load_model(test_package)
        time = np.array([np.datetime64("2024-01-01T00:00")])
        dc = model.input_coords()
        del dc["batch"]
        del dc["lead_time"]
        del dc["variable"]

        for dtype in [torch.float32, torch.float16]:
            ds = Random(dc)
            lead_time = model.input_coords()["lead_time"]
            variable = model.input_coords()["variable"]
            x, coords = fetch_data(ds, time, variable, lead_time)
            x = x.to(dtype)
            out, _ = model(x, coords)
            assert out.dtype == dtype

    def test_model_deterministic(self, test_package):
        """Test model produces deterministic output."""
        model = ModelName.load_model(test_package)
        time = np.array([np.datetime64("2024-01-01T00:00")])
        dc = model.input_coords()
        del dc["batch"]
        del dc["lead_time"]
        del dc["variable"]
        ds = Random(dc)
        lead_time = model.input_coords()["lead_time"]
        variable = model.input_coords()["variable"]
        x, coords = fetch_data(ds, time, variable, lead_time)

        out1, _ = model(x, coords)
        out2, _ = model(x, coords)
        torch.testing.assert_close(out1, out2)

Requirements and compatibility

Written for: Claude Code

Works with: Claude Code, Claude apps, OpenAI Codex, GitHub Copilot, Cursor, Gemini CLI, Kiro, OpenCode, Goose, Amp, Roo Code, JetBrains Junie, Factory Droid, Devin (ex-Windsurf), Mistral Vibe, OpenHands, Letta

“Works with” means the tool reads the open Agent Skills format; a skill written for one tool may use features others lack.

Needs: Claude Code frontmatter, Needs an API key, Needs Python

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Attribution and licence

Created by
NVIDIA Earth-2 Team
Publisher
NVIDIA (Official)
Source
NVIDIA/skills · skills/earth2studio-create-prognostic · commit fce3cca
Licence
Apache License 2.0 (redistribution allowed)
  • LICENSE (added by AutoGineer from LICENSE-APACHE)
  • ATTRIBUTION.md (written by AutoGineer)
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